According to IMS Research's research, the market for solar photovoltaic manufacturing equipment may be halved in 2012. As the new demand for solar photovoltaic manufacturing equipment has dropped significantly, there is limited demand for replacement and upgrade of existing equipment in the market, and the market is expected to drop by more than 55% in 2012.
In recent years, manufacturers of solar photovoltaic products have invested heavily in purchasing new photovoltaic equipment to expand their production capacity in order to expand market share and at the same time allow themselves to become reliable large-volume suppliers. Although this has contributed to the recent boom in the solar photovoltaic cell manufacturing equipment market, it has also led to the current overcapacity of photovoltaic equipment manufacturers.
Senior research analyst Tim Dawson said: According to the estimation of IMSRsearch, the photovoltaic cell manufacturing equipment market revenue reached a record of 12.8 billion US dollars in 2011, and will only exceed 5.7 billion US dollars in 2012. Large-scale overcapacity, coupled with declining demand, producers may delay or cancel orders for photovoltaic manufacturing equipment, if possible, at least in the short term.
In the long run, it is inevitable that the photovoltaic industry will resume growth in 2013, but it cannot predict that there will be a strong V-shaped recovery. The photovoltaic manufacturing equipment market will recover steadily. After all, photovoltaic manufacturers still hope to invest again in new equipment to remain competitive, improve production processes, provide battery efficiency, and ultimately reduce the cost per watt.
At present, China's photovoltaic equipment companies manufacture silicon materials, silicon wafers, photovoltaic cells, and photovoltaic modules, as well as corresponding pure water production, environmental protection, purification engineering, and testing equipment and simulators corresponding to the photovoltaic industry chain. And so on, already have complete supply capacity, some products such as diffusion furnace, plasma etching machine, single crystal furnace, polycrystalline ingot furnace, laminating machine, testing equipment, etc. began to export. It is worth mentioning that the single crystal furnace in the silicon material processing equipment occupies the absolute dominant position in the domestic market with excellent cost performance and is exported to Asia in bulk. Multi-wire cutting machines have made breakthroughs, and polysilicon ingot casting furnaces have begun to be widely used in domestic enterprises. use.
According to the data provided by the 48th CLP, among the 10 solar photovoltaic cell manufacturing line equipment, domestically produced equipment has been able to provide eight of them, including six (diffusion furnace, plasma etching machine, cleaning/textile machine, and Phospho-silica glass (PSG) equipment and low-temperature drying furnaces have already dominated the domestic production line. Two types (tubular PECVD, rapid sintering furnaces) coexist with imported photovoltaic equipment, but their share is gradually increasing. However, automatic screen printers, automatic sorters, and flat panel PECVD still rely on imports. At present, China's domestic photovoltaic and photovoltaic injection line construction scheme is a mixture of domestic and imported equipment, mainly based on domestic production. In terms of equipment investment, a 25MW standard production line needs 34,060 million yuan.
The technical level of China's photovoltaic cell manufacturing equipment First of all, in terms of wet corrosion, cleaning equipment, and diffusion, it is mainly capable of manufacturing domestic autoclave equipment, automatic cleaning equipment, fully enclosed diffusion furnaces, etching machines, and PSG equipment. Has reached the world advanced level, and the cost advantage is very obvious; domestic PECVD (pipe) process results are close to the world's advanced level, which is the advantage of this type of equipment. But its degree of automation (automatic loading and unloading) is not as good as imported equipment (imported equipment such as Germany Centrotherm's products, the price is about three times that of domestic equipment), flat-panel PECVD currently has domestic production, pending further verification; third, Domestic screen printer (only manual), and the gap between imported automation products is also in the automatic loading and unloading (manipulator) and automatic detection means, automatic screen printing machine has been produced by the company, the process needs further verification; Fourth, high temperature The technology of sintering furnaces has been improved, and batches have been used on large lines. Fifth, the automatic detection and sorting equipment has reached the international medium level at present.
However, despite the fact that domestic solar photovoltaic equipment has established a good reputation among domestic users and is widely recognized by the industry, more and more customers have benefited from domestic equipment with moderate prices, good performance, and continuous improvement in technology. However, we should also see that there is still a gap between domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers and foreign manufacturers in the overall level of technology, especially cutting-edge technology. Industry experts pointed out that the competitiveness of domestic solar photovoltaic equipment is not entirely based on the performance indicators of the equipment, but on the cost performance ratio of the equipment. The cost is the ultimate goal of the solar photovoltaic industry. There is a saying in the industry that photovoltaic equipment is not the best and only the most suitable. It is understood that building a solar cell production line, more than 70% of the investment is used to purchase equipment, and the average price of domestic equipment only 1/31/2 of foreign products, using domestic equipment supplemented by a small amount of imported equipment, can build the cost of the line Reduce by more than half.
In recent years, manufacturers of solar photovoltaic products have invested heavily in purchasing new photovoltaic equipment to expand their production capacity in order to expand market share and at the same time allow themselves to become reliable large-volume suppliers. Although this has contributed to the recent boom in the solar photovoltaic cell manufacturing equipment market, it has also led to the current overcapacity of photovoltaic equipment manufacturers.
Senior research analyst Tim Dawson said: According to the estimation of IMSRsearch, the photovoltaic cell manufacturing equipment market revenue reached a record of 12.8 billion US dollars in 2011, and will only exceed 5.7 billion US dollars in 2012. Large-scale overcapacity, coupled with declining demand, producers may delay or cancel orders for photovoltaic manufacturing equipment, if possible, at least in the short term.
In the long run, it is inevitable that the photovoltaic industry will resume growth in 2013, but it cannot predict that there will be a strong V-shaped recovery. The photovoltaic manufacturing equipment market will recover steadily. After all, photovoltaic manufacturers still hope to invest again in new equipment to remain competitive, improve production processes, provide battery efficiency, and ultimately reduce the cost per watt.
At present, China's photovoltaic equipment companies manufacture silicon materials, silicon wafers, photovoltaic cells, and photovoltaic modules, as well as corresponding pure water production, environmental protection, purification engineering, and testing equipment and simulators corresponding to the photovoltaic industry chain. And so on, already have complete supply capacity, some products such as diffusion furnace, plasma etching machine, single crystal furnace, polycrystalline ingot furnace, laminating machine, testing equipment, etc. began to export. It is worth mentioning that the single crystal furnace in the silicon material processing equipment occupies the absolute dominant position in the domestic market with excellent cost performance and is exported to Asia in bulk. Multi-wire cutting machines have made breakthroughs, and polysilicon ingot casting furnaces have begun to be widely used in domestic enterprises. use.
According to the data provided by the 48th CLP, among the 10 solar photovoltaic cell manufacturing line equipment, domestically produced equipment has been able to provide eight of them, including six (diffusion furnace, plasma etching machine, cleaning/textile machine, and Phospho-silica glass (PSG) equipment and low-temperature drying furnaces have already dominated the domestic production line. Two types (tubular PECVD, rapid sintering furnaces) coexist with imported photovoltaic equipment, but their share is gradually increasing. However, automatic screen printers, automatic sorters, and flat panel PECVD still rely on imports. At present, China's domestic photovoltaic and photovoltaic injection line construction scheme is a mixture of domestic and imported equipment, mainly based on domestic production. In terms of equipment investment, a 25MW standard production line needs 34,060 million yuan.
The technical level of China's photovoltaic cell manufacturing equipment First of all, in terms of wet corrosion, cleaning equipment, and diffusion, it is mainly capable of manufacturing domestic autoclave equipment, automatic cleaning equipment, fully enclosed diffusion furnaces, etching machines, and PSG equipment. Has reached the world advanced level, and the cost advantage is very obvious; domestic PECVD (pipe) process results are close to the world's advanced level, which is the advantage of this type of equipment. But its degree of automation (automatic loading and unloading) is not as good as imported equipment (imported equipment such as Germany Centrotherm's products, the price is about three times that of domestic equipment), flat-panel PECVD currently has domestic production, pending further verification; third, Domestic screen printer (only manual), and the gap between imported automation products is also in the automatic loading and unloading (manipulator) and automatic detection means, automatic screen printing machine has been produced by the company, the process needs further verification; Fourth, high temperature The technology of sintering furnaces has been improved, and batches have been used on large lines. Fifth, the automatic detection and sorting equipment has reached the international medium level at present.
However, despite the fact that domestic solar photovoltaic equipment has established a good reputation among domestic users and is widely recognized by the industry, more and more customers have benefited from domestic equipment with moderate prices, good performance, and continuous improvement in technology. However, we should also see that there is still a gap between domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers and foreign manufacturers in the overall level of technology, especially cutting-edge technology. Industry experts pointed out that the competitiveness of domestic solar photovoltaic equipment is not entirely based on the performance indicators of the equipment, but on the cost performance ratio of the equipment. The cost is the ultimate goal of the solar photovoltaic industry. There is a saying in the industry that photovoltaic equipment is not the best and only the most suitable. It is understood that building a solar cell production line, more than 70% of the investment is used to purchase equipment, and the average price of domestic equipment only 1/31/2 of foreign products, using domestic equipment supplemented by a small amount of imported equipment, can build the cost of the line Reduce by more than half.
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